Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.458875 0.507637 0.560086 0.620806 0.689308 0.764353 0.853007
2025-06-22 0.373719 0.439550 0.515574 0.610334 0.725932 0.863189 1.039723
2025-06-29 0.326207 0.399420 0.488049 0.604157 0.753606 0.941325 1.197859
2025-07-06 0.283618 0.358143 0.451695 0.579110 0.750217 0.975050 1.297848
2025-07-13 0.262986 0.341406 0.443125 0.586660 0.787098 1.061776 1.474962
2025-07-20 0.245794 0.326938 0.435278 0.593059 0.821278 1.146209 1.656433
2025-07-27 0.231253 0.314394 0.428337 0.599117 0.854251 1.230609 1.845893
2025-08-03 0.217747 0.301928 0.420057 0.601819 0.881554 1.308011 2.032073
2025-08-10 0.206826 0.292119 0.414491 0.607507 0.913087 1.393894 2.240730
2025-08-17 0.192037 0.275493 0.397505 0.594072 0.912940 1.428582 2.366396
2025-08-24 0.184132 0.268472 0.394224 0.601370 0.946156 1.520203 2.600871
2025-08-31 0.174448 0.258037 0.384864 0.597975 0.960996 1.581586 2.787313
2025-09-07 0.167248 0.251117 0.380710 0.603061 0.991199 1.673641 3.045202
2025-09-14 0.157526 0.239629 0.368534 0.593805 0.995640 1.720092 3.221091
2025-09-21 0.149347 0.230071 0.358784 0.587773 1.004985 1.775950 3.422348
2025-09-28 0.138313 0.215231 0.339403 0.563513 0.978887 1.762012 3.476326
2025-10-05 0.134085 0.211328 0.337994 0.570827 1.011923 1.865296 3.794366
2025-10-12 0.129955 0.207322 0.336105 0.577026 1.043203 1.968020 4.125490
2025-10-19 0.126048 0.203449 0.334164 0.582894 1.074191 2.073105 4.477090
2025-10-26 0.121869 0.198864 0.330664 0.585512 1.098800 2.167164 4.816311
2025-11-02 0.118409 0.195328 0.328788 0.591021 1.129651 2.277678 5.212598
2025-11-09 0.112402 0.186992 0.317779 0.578007 1.120825 2.299673 5.387517
2025-11-16 0.109672 0.184353 0.317007 0.585077 1.155057 2.422194 5.844263